What markets are included in the Inter vs Cagliari prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Inter vs Cagliari prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Cagliari

Inter vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-12 16:00

Inter

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Cagliari

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

23%

20%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate63%

Cagliari (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter

WDWWL

Cagliari

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 21%

37% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Inter averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

23%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Inter 3 - 0 Cagliari Home

Sep 2025 Inter(A) 2 - 0 Cagliari Home

Apr 2025 Inter 3 - 1 Cagliari Home

Dec 2024 Inter(A) 3 - 0 Cagliari Home

Apr 2024 Inter 2 - 2 Cagliari Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)2

Inter — scoring streak (home)2

Cagliari — winless run (away)2

Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)57%

Draw (X)23%

Cagliari Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 21%

37% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

32% -1.5 79%

63% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.11

Inter — conceded (home)1.11

Cagliari — scored (away)0.84

Cagliari — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)63%

Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.0

Corners against2.9

Cagliari (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter

7 7 12 6 5

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.3

Cagliari (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)16.5

Cagliari — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)5.2

Cagliari — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box10.7

Outside the box4.51

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target22%

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Correa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

M. Arnautović

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Dumfries

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.82

Cagliari xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

59.38% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Inter vs Cagliari

87.65% Pass accuracy 78.68%

549.54 Passes per match 370.08

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.03

11 Fouls committed 13.16

2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

2.42 Offsides 1.76

13.26 Tackles per match 14.18

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Cagliari prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights