Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Como

Inter vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2024-12-23 19:45
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
21%
2
19%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
WDWWL
Como
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 68%
68% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Inter averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
21%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Inter 3 - 2 Como Home
Apr 2026 Inter(A) 4 - 3 Como Home
Mar 2026 Inter(A) 0 - 0 Como Draw
Dec 2025 Inter 4 - 0 Como Home
May 2025 Inter(A) 2 - 0 Como Home

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)2
Inter — scoring streak (home)2
Como — winless run (away)1
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)59%
Draw (X)21%
Como Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 68%
68% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 32%
32% -1.5 74%
63% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.11
Inter — conceded (home)1.11
Como — scored (away)1.11
Como — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals3.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)63%
Como — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against2.9

Como (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
7 7 12 6 5
Como
9 10 6 10 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.3

Como (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)16.5
Como — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)5.2
Como — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box10.7
Outside the box4.51

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.82
Como xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

59.38% Possession 54.79%

Team Comparison Inter vs Como

87.65% Pass accuracy 84.45%
549.54 Passes per match 464.71
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.05
11 Fouls committed 13.24
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
2.42 Offsides 1.81
13.26 Tackles per match 17.45

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Como prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top