Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Como

Inter vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-06 17:00
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
25%
2
25%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
DDWWD
Como
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 68%
74% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 26%
26% +3.5 11%
16% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Inter averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Inter 3 - 2 Como Home
Apr 2026 Inter(A) 4 - 3 Como Home
Mar 2026 Inter(A) 0 - 0 Como Draw
Dec 2025 Inter 4 - 0 Como Home
May 2025 Inter(A) 2 - 0 Como Home

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)12
Inter — scoring streak (home)12
Como — winless run (away)0
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)49%
Draw (X)25%
Como Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 68%
74% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 26%
26% +3.5 11%
16% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 32%
26% -1.5 53%
53% -2.5 74%
74% -3.5 89%
84% -4.5 95%

Inter vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.63
Inter — conceded (home)0.84
Como — scored (away)1.58
Como — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)53%
Como — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.4
Corners against2.9

Como (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
10 11 6 12 5
Como
5 5 14 17 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.4

Como (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)18.2
Como — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)6.8
Como — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87

Como

Inside the box9.53
Outside the box4.92

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Como

N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
T. Douvikas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target21%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. da Cunha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.9
Como xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

59.76% Possession 61.61%

Team Comparison Inter vs Como

87.37% Pass accuracy 87.05%
547.45 Passes per match 527.13
-0.25 Goals prevented 0.09
13.13 Fouls committed 13.29
2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.32
1.65 Offsides 1.23
15.16 Tackles per match 16.42

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Como prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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