Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Hellas Verona

Inter vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-05-03 18:45
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
22%
2
21%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
WDWWL
Hellas Verona
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Inter averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Inter 1 - 1 Hellas Verona Draw
Nov 2025 Inter(A) 2 - 1 Hellas Verona Home
May 2025 Inter 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
Nov 2024 Inter(A) 5 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
May 2024 Inter(A) 2 - 2 Hellas Verona Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)2
Inter — scoring streak (home)2
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)0
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)57%
Draw (X)22%
Hellas Verona Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 26%
37% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 37%
32% -1.5 74%
63% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.11
Inter — conceded (home)1.11
Hellas Verona — scored (away)1
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)63%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against2.9

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
7 7 12 6 5
Hellas Verona
5 7 9 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.3

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)16.5
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)5.2
Hellas Verona — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box10.7
Outside the box4.51

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.82
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

59.38% Possession 38.47%

Team Comparison Inter vs Hellas Verona

87.65% Pass accuracy 74.21%
549.54 Passes per match 318.58
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.01
11 Fouls committed 15.24
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
2.42 Offsides 1.57
13.26 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top