Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Liverpool

Inter vs Liverpool prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-12-09 20:00
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Liverpool
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
26%
2
45%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Liverpool (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
LLWLL
Liverpool
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 50%
40% +1.5 33%
20% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 17%
60% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Inter averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Liverpool averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2025 Inter 0 - 1 Liverpool Away
Mar 2022 Inter(A) 1 - 0 Liverpool Home
Feb 2022 Inter 0 - 2 Liverpool Away

In the last 3 meetings, Inter won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)0
Inter — scoring streak (home)2
Liverpool — winless run (away)2
Liverpool — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)29%
Draw (X)26%
Liverpool Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 50%
40% +1.5 33%
20% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 17%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 50%
60% -1.5 67%
80% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 83%
100% -4.5 83%

Inter vs Liverpool — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)1.4
Inter — conceded (home)1.4
Liverpool — scored (away)1.5
Liverpool — conceded (away)0.83
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)60%
Liverpool — BTTS matches (away)17%
Combined (simple average)38.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for8.0
Corners against2.8

Liverpool (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
9 11 8 6 17
Liverpool
15 11 8 4 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.6

Liverpool (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)20.2
Liverpool — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)5.6
Liverpool — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box13.8
Outside the box4.2

Liverpool

Inside the box13.33
Outside the box5.83

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target38%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target44%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Frattesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Liverpool

Mohamed Salah
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target30%
D. Szoboszlai
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Isak
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target14%
C. Gakpo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)2.02
Liverpool xG (away)2.48

Average Possession

57.3% Possession 52.75%

Team Comparison Inter vs Liverpool

86.8% Pass accuracy 84.42%
544.2 Passes per match 483
0.44 Goals prevented 0.17
10.7 Fouls committed 11.75
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.25
1.78 Offsides 2.08
16.9 Tackles per match 14.17

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Liverpool prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Liverpool with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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