Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Monza
Inter vs Monza prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-08-23
16:30
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Monza
Away
Prediction Summary
1
66%
X
20%
2
15%
+2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Inter (Home)
Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%
Monza (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Inter
DDWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
0%
74%
+1.5
0%
47%
+2.5
0%
26%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Inter averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Monza averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
66%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2025
Inter
3 - 2
Monza
Home
Sep 2024
Inter(A)
1 - 1
Monza
Draw
Jan 2024
Inter(A)
5 - 1
Monza
Home
Aug 2023
Inter
2 - 0
Monza
Home
Apr 2023
Inter
0 - 1
Monza
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Inter — unbeaten run (home)12
Inter — scoring streak (home)12
1X2 Probability model
Inter Win (1)66%
Draw (X)20%
Monza Win (2)15%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
0%
74%
+1.5
0%
47%
+2.5
0%
26%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
100%
26%
-1.5
100%
53%
-2.5
100%
74%
-3.5
100%
84%
-4.5
100%
Inter vs Monza — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Inter — scored (home)2.63
Inter — conceded (home)0.84
Monza — scored (away)0
Monza — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals3.03
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Inter — BTTS matches (home)53%
Monza — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Inter (home)
Corners for7.4
Corners against2.9
Monza (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Inter
10
11
6
12
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.532%
Under 2.568%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Inter (home)
For1.4
Monza (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.42
Inter
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.85
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.41
Monza
Shots Over 9.547%
Shots Over 11.529%
Shots Over 13.517%
Expected shots9.58
On Target Over 3.540%
On Target Over 4.524%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.24
Shots per Game
Inter — total shots (home)18.2
Monza — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Inter — on target (home)6.8
Monza — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Inter
Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87
Monza
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Inter
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Monza
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter xG (home)1.9
Monza xG (away)-
Average Possession
59.76%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Inter vs Monza
87.37%
Pass accuracy
0%
547.45
Passes per match
-
-0.25
Goals prevented
-
13.13
Fouls committed
-
2.03
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.65
Offsides
-
15.16
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Inter vs Monza prediction analysis
Review Inter vs Monza with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights