Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Parma
Inter vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-10-11
16:30
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Parma
Away
Prediction Summary
1
64%
X
22%
2
14%
+2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
44%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Inter (Home)
Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%
Parma (Away)
Goals scored / match0.63
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate32%
Team Form last 5 matches
Inter
DDWWD
Parma
WLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
53%
74%
+1.5
11%
47%
+2.5
0%
26%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
32%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.
Inter averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 0.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
64%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
64%
Draw
22%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Inter
2 - 0
Parma
Home
Jan 2026
Inter(A)
2 - 0
Parma
Home
Apr 2025
Inter(A)
2 - 2
Parma
Draw
Dec 2024
Inter
3 - 1
Parma
Home
Mar 2021
Inter(A)
2 - 1
Parma
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Inter — unbeaten run (home)12
Inter — scoring streak (home)12
Parma — winless run (away)2
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Inter Win (1)64%
Draw (X)22%
Parma Win (2)14%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
53%
74%
+1.5
11%
47%
+2.5
0%
26%
+3.5
0%
16%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
47%
26%
-1.5
89%
53%
-2.5
100%
74%
-3.5
100%
84%
-4.5
100%
Inter vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Inter — scored (home)2.63
Inter — conceded (home)0.84
Parma — scored (away)0.63
Parma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.61
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Inter — BTTS matches (home)53%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)42.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Inter (home)
Corners for7.4
Corners against2.9
Parma (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Inter
10
11
6
12
5
Parma
11
11
9
17
2
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Inter (home)
For1.4
Parma (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.39
Inter
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.67
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.11
Parma
Shots Over 9.548%
Shots Over 11.530%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots9.72
On Target Over 3.539%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.20
Shots per Game
Inter — total shots (home)18.2
Parma — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
Inter — on target (home)6.8
Parma — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Inter
Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87
Parma
Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74
Player Shots Inter
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Parma
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter xG (home)1.9
Parma xG (away)0.84
Average Possession
59.76%
Possession
44%
Team Comparison Inter vs Parma
87.37%
Pass accuracy
79.66%
547.45
Passes per match
361.58
-0.25
Goals prevented
0.07
13.13
Fouls committed
10.87
2.03
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.65
Offsides
1.35
15.16
Tackles per match
13.92
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Inter vs Parma prediction analysis
Review Inter vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights