Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Udinese

Inter vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-13 16:30
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
+2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
DDWWD
Udinese
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 79%
74% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 16%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Inter averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Inter(A) 1 - 0 Udinese Home
Aug 2025 Inter 1 - 2 Udinese Away
Mar 2025 Inter 2 - 1 Udinese Home
Sep 2024 Inter(A) 3 - 2 Udinese Home
Apr 2024 Inter(A) 2 - 1 Udinese Home

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)12
Inter — scoring streak (home)12
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
Udinese Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 79%
74% +1.5 47%
47% +2.5 16%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 21%
26% -1.5 53%
53% -2.5 84%
74% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.63
Inter — conceded (home)0.84
Udinese — scored (away)1.42
Udinese — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.16

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)53%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.4
Corners against2.9

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
10 11 6 12 5
Udinese
9 7 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.4

Udinese (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.77

Inter

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.55
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.17

Udinese

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.22
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.49

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)18.2
Udinese — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)6.8
Udinese — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.9
Udinese xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

59.76% Possession 45.63%

Team Comparison Inter vs Udinese

87.37% Pass accuracy 80.47%
547.45 Passes per match 369.95
-0.25 Goals prevented -0.02
13.13 Fouls committed 13.58
2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
1.65 Offsides 1.59
15.16 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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