Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Venezia

Inter vs Venezia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-11-03 19:45
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Venezia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
18%
2
17%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Venezia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
WDWWL
Venezia
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%
68% +1.5 21%
37% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Inter averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Venezia averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
18%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Inter 5 - 1 Venezia Home
Jan 2025 Inter(A) 1 - 0 Venezia Home
Nov 2024 Inter 1 - 0 Venezia Home
Jan 2022 Inter 2 - 1 Venezia Home
Nov 2021 Inter(A) 2 - 0 Venezia Home

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)2
Inter — scoring streak (home)2
Venezia — winless run (away)19
Venezia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)65%
Draw (X)18%
Venezia Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%
68% +1.5 21%
37% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%
32% -1.5 79%
63% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Venezia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.11
Inter — conceded (home)1.11
Venezia — scored (away)0.79
Venezia — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals3.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)63%
Venezia — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against2.9

Venezia (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
7 7 12 6 5
Venezia
9 6 6 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.3

Venezia (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)16.5
Venezia — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)5.2
Venezia — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box10.7
Outside the box4.51

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.82
Venezia xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

59.38% Possession 44.84%

Team Comparison Inter vs Venezia

87.65% Pass accuracy 77.79%
549.54 Passes per match 359.11
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.04
11 Fouls committed 13.24
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 3.7
2.42 Offsides 1.57
13.26 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Venezia prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Venezia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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