Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga

Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-17 20:45
Internacional de Bogota
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Bucaramanga
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
31%
2
36%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional de Bogota (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate25%

Bucaramanga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.09
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional de Bogota
WLLLL
Bucaramanga
DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

40% +0.5 68%
25% +1.5 23%
5% +2.5 9%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
25% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional de Bogota averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Bucaramanga averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Internacional de Bogota(A) 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Away
May 2025 Internacional de Bogota 1 - 4 Bucaramanga Away

In the last 2 meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Internacional de Bogota — unbeaten run (home)1
Internacional de Bogota — scoring streak (home)1
Bucaramanga — winless run (away)1
Bucaramanga — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional de Bogota Win (1)33%
Draw (X)31%
Bucaramanga Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

40% +0.5 68%
25% +1.5 23%
5% +2.5 9%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

60% -0.5 32%
75% -1.5 77%
95% -2.5 91%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional de Bogota — scored (home)0.75
Internacional de Bogota — conceded (home)1.2
Bucaramanga — scored (away)1.05
Bucaramanga — conceded (away)1.09
Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Internacional de Bogota — BTTS matches (home)25%
Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.578%
Under 5.522%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional de Bogota (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8

Bucaramanga (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional de Bogota
6 11 4 7 4
Bucaramanga
8 11 11 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional de Bogota (home)

For3.0

Bucaramanga (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Internacional de Bogota — total shots (home)11.6
Bucaramanga — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Internacional de Bogota — on target (home)3.5
Bucaramanga — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional de Bogota

Inside the box5.6
Outside the box5.23

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box5.84

Player Shots Internacional de Bogota

J. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Parra Atehortua
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
Renan Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Micolta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Sambueza
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
F. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Gil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional de Bogota xG (home)0.72
Bucaramanga xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

43.5% Possession 53.98%

Team Comparison Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga

76.4% Pass accuracy 80.57%
317 Passes per match 388.5
0 Goals prevented 0
11.58 Fouls committed 11.86
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.2
1.38 Offsides 1.72
12.05 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga prediction analysis

Review Internacional de Bogota vs Bucaramanga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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