Prediction Analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-10-20
23:00
Internacional de Bogota
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Deportes Tolima
Away
Prediction Summary
1
27%
X
29%
2
44%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Internacional de Bogota (Home)
Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate25%
Deportes Tolima (Away)
Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.04
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate44%
Team Form last 5 matches
Internacional de Bogota
WLLLL
Deportes Tolima
LLWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
40%
+0.5
74%
25%
+1.5
33%
5%
+2.5
15%
5%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
25%
BTTS
44%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.
Internacional de Bogota averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.
Model Strength
64%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
27%
Draw
29%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Internacional de Bogota
0 - 2
Deportes Tolima
Away
Apr 2025
Internacional de Bogota(A)
1 - 2
Deportes Tolima
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Internacional de Bogota — unbeaten run (home)1
Internacional de Bogota — scoring streak (home)1
Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2
Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Internacional de Bogota Win (1)27%
Draw (X)29%
Deportes Tolima Win (2)44%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
40%
+0.5
74%
25%
+1.5
33%
5%
+2.5
15%
5%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
60%
-0.5
26%
75%
-1.5
67%
95%
-2.5
85%
95%
-3.5
96%
100%
-4.5
100%
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Internacional de Bogota — scored (home)0.75
Internacional de Bogota — conceded (home)1.2
Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26
Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04
Model expected combined goals2.14
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
Internacional de Bogota — BTTS matches (home)25%
Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)34.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Internacional de Bogota (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against3.8
Deportes Tolima (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Internacional de Bogota
6
11
4
7
4
Deportes Tolima
8
8
8
9
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
Internacional de Bogota (home)
For3.0
Deportes Tolima (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Internacional de Bogota — total shots (home)11.6
Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8
Shots on Target
Internacional de Bogota — on target (home)3.5
Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Internacional de Bogota
Inside the box5.6
Outside the box5.23
Deportes Tolima
Inside the box7.02
Outside the box5.72
Player Shots Internacional de Bogota
J. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Parra Atehortua
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
Renan Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Micolta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Player Shots Deportes Tolima
G. Lencina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. P. Torres Patino
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Parra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota xG (home)0.72
Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26
Average Possession
43.5%
Possession
53.69%
Team Comparison Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima
76.4%
Pass accuracy
81.54%
317
Passes per match
409.22
0
Goals prevented
0
11.58
Fouls committed
10.46
2.7
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
1.38
Offsides
1.42
12.05
Tackles per match
11.89
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis
Review Internacional de Bogota vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights