Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Atletico-MG

Internacional vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-02 21:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Atletico-MG
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
27%
2
22%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Atletico-MG
WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 42%
42% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Internacional 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw
Jun 2025 Internacional(A) 0 - 2 Atletico-MG Away
Oct 2024 Internacional(A) 3 - 1 Atletico-MG Home
Jun 2024 Internacional 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Away
Oct 2023 Internacional 0 - 2 Atletico-MG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2
Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)50%
Draw (X)27%
Atletico-MG Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 42%
42% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 58%
58% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68
Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Atletico-MG
10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target29%
Hulk
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Cuello
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
João Marcelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Guilherme Arana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Atletico-MG

82.63% Pass accuracy 83.87%
429.03 Passes per match 451.13
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.03
14.89 Fouls committed 13.24
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
1.78 Offsides 1.83
18.39 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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