Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Corinthians
Internacional vs Corinthians prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-10-01
22:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Corinthians
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
27%
2
28%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Internacional (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%
Corinthians (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Internacional
WLLDW
Corinthians
DLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
68%
42%
+1.5
5%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Corinthians averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Internacional
1 - 1
Corinthians
Draw
May 2025
Internacional(A)
2 - 4
Corinthians
Away
Oct 2024
Internacional(A)
2 - 2
Corinthians
Draw
Jun 2024
Internacional
1 - 0
Corinthians
Home
Dec 2023
Internacional(A)
2 - 1
Corinthians
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Corinthians — winless run (away)3
Corinthians — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Internacional Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Corinthians Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
68%
42%
+1.5
5%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
32%
58%
-1.5
95%
84%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Internacional vs Corinthians — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Corinthians — scored (away)0.79
Corinthians — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.37
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Corinthians — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)55.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Internacional (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6
Corinthians (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Corinthians
9
12
12
7
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Internacional (home)
For2.2
Corinthians (away)
For3.3
Shots per Game
Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Corinthians — total shots (away)9.4
Shots on Target
Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Corinthians — on target (away)2.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Corinthians
Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Corinthians
Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional xG (home)1.4
Corinthians xG (away)1.31
Average Possession
51.08%
Possession
55.74%
Team Comparison Internacional vs Corinthians
82.63%
Pass accuracy
84.82%
429.03
Passes per match
467.61
-0.13
Goals prevented
0.03
14.89
Fouls committed
13.95
2.61
Goalkeeper saves
2.43
1.78
Offsides
1.79
18.39
Tackles per match
15.97
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Internacional vs Corinthians prediction analysis
Review Internacional vs Corinthians with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights