Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Cruzeiro

Internacional vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-06 21:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Cruzeiro
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
29%
2
33%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Cruzeiro
LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
29%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Internacional 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away
Aug 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away
Apr 2025 Internacional 3 - 0 Cruzeiro Home
Aug 2024 Internacional(A) 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Draw
Aug 2024 Internacional 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3
Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)38%
Draw (X)29%
Cruzeiro Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 68%
84% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05
Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Cruzeiro
12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Arroyo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
Matheus Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Gabriel Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Cruzeiro

82.63% Pass accuracy 81.05%
429.03 Passes per match 363.13
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.12
14.89 Fouls committed 13.66
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.78 Offsides 1.5
18.39 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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