Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Flamengo
Internacional vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-07-29
22:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Flamengo
Away
Prediction Summary
1
31%
X
26%
2
43%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Internacional (Home)
Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate60%
Flamengo (Away)
Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate55%
Team Form last 5 matches
Internacional
LWLLD
Flamengo
WDWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
80%
40%
+1.5
60%
15%
+2.5
25%
0%
+3.5
10%
0%
+4.5
5%
60%
BTTS
55%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.
Internacional averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.8 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
31%
Draw
26%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Aug 2025
Internacional
1 - 3
Flamengo
Away
Mar 2025
Internacional(A)
1 - 1
Flamengo
Draw
Dec 2024
Internacional(A)
2 - 3
Flamengo
Away
Oct 2024
Internacional
1 - 1
Flamengo
Draw
Aug 2023
Internacional(A)
0 - 0
Flamengo
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Internacional — unbeaten run (home)0
Internacional — scoring streak (home)4
Flamengo — winless run (away)0
Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Internacional Win (1)31%
Draw (X)26%
Flamengo Win (2)43%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
80%
40%
+1.5
60%
15%
+2.5
25%
0%
+3.5
10%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
20%
60%
-1.5
40%
85%
-2.5
75%
100%
-3.5
90%
100%
-4.5
95%
Internacional vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Internacional — scored (home)1.4
Internacional — conceded (home)1.1
Flamengo — scored (away)1.8
Flamengo — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.63
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Internacional — BTTS matches (home)60%
Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Internacional (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6
Flamengo (away)
Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Internacional
5
7
13
6
12
Flamengo
10
6
7
5
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Internacional (home)
For2.2
Flamengo (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.75
Internacional
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.25
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.84
Flamengo
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.49
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.02
Shots per Game
Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8
Shots on Target
Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Flamengo — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Flamengo
Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Flamengo
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target41%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target18%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional xG (home)1.4
Flamengo xG (away)1.63
Average Possession
51.08%
Possession
62.08%
Team Comparison Internacional vs Flamengo
82.63%
Pass accuracy
88.34%
429.03
Passes per match
562.39
-0.13
Goals prevented
-0.02
14.89
Fouls committed
13.42
2.61
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
1.78
Offsides
1.24
18.15
Tackles per match
15.15
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Internacional vs Flamengo prediction analysis
Review Internacional vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights