Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Flamengo

Internacional vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-17 21:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Flamengo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
30%
2
37%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Flamengo
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
42% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Internacional 1 - 3 Flamengo Away
Mar 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw
Dec 2024 Internacional(A) 2 - 3 Flamengo Away
Oct 2024 Internacional 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw
Aug 2023 Internacional(A) 0 - 0 Flamengo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Flamengo — winless run (away)3
Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)33%
Draw (X)30%
Flamengo Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
42% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
58% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Internacional vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Flamengo — scored (away)1.68
Flamengo — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Flamengo
8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Flamengo

82.63% Pass accuracy 88.34%
429.03 Passes per match 562.39
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.02
14.89 Fouls committed 13.42
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.78 Offsides 1.24
18.39 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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