Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Fluminense

Internacional vs Fluminense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-06-01 23:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fluminense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Fluminense (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Fluminense
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fluminense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Internacional(A) 0 - 1 Fluminense Away
Aug 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 1 Fluminense Draw
Jul 2025 Internacional 1 - 2 Fluminense Away
Jun 2025 Internacional 0 - 2 Fluminense Away
Nov 2024 Internacional 2 - 0 Fluminense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Fluminense — winless run (away)0
Fluminense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)56%
Draw (X)24%
Fluminense Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 63%
84% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Fluminense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Fluminense — scored (away)1
Fluminense — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Fluminense — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Fluminense (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Fluminense
8 13 7 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Fluminense (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Fluminense — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Fluminense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Cano
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Canobbio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
John Kennedy
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Acosta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Fluminense xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 52.92%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Fluminense

82.63% Pass accuracy 84.87%
429.03 Passes per match 468.34
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.1
14.89 Fouls committed 12.84
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.51
1.78 Offsides 0.94
18.39 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Fluminense prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Fluminense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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