Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Fortaleza EC
Internacional vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-08-31
23:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fortaleza EC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Internacional (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%
Fortaleza EC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%
Team Form last 5 matches
Internacional
WLLDW
Fortaleza EC
LWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
74%
42%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
68%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.
Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
Aug 2025
Internacional
2 - 1
Fortaleza EC
Home
Apr 2025
Internacional(A)
0 - 0
Fortaleza EC
Draw
Dec 2024
Internacional(A)
0 - 3
Fortaleza EC
Away
Sep 2024
Internacional
2 - 1
Fortaleza EC
Home
Aug 2023
Internacional
0 - 1
Fortaleza EC
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1
Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Internacional Win (1)53%
Draw (X)26%
Fortaleza EC Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
74%
42%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
26%
58%
-1.5
79%
84%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Internacional vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05
Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.32
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)63%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Internacional (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6
Fortaleza EC (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Fortaleza EC
12
11
11
7
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Internacional (home)
For2.2
Fortaleza EC (away)
For2.6
Shots per Game
Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5
Shots on Target
Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Fortaleza EC
Inside the box7.63
Outside the box5.26
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Fortaleza EC
A. Bareiro
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target19%
Breno Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Pochettino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Deyverson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional xG (home)1.4
Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
51.08%
Possession
44.18%
Team Comparison Internacional vs Fortaleza EC
82.63%
Pass accuracy
79.24%
429.03
Passes per match
354.39
-0.13
Goals prevented
0.01
14.89
Fouls committed
14.18
2.61
Goalkeeper saves
3.63
1.78
Offsides
2.06
18.39
Tackles per match
17.79
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Internacional vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis
Review Internacional vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights