Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Palmeiras

Internacional vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-16 22:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Palmeiras
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Palmeiras
WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 89%
42% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 4 Palmeiras Away
Apr 2025 Internacional 0 - 1 Palmeiras Away
Aug 2024 Internacional 1 - 1 Palmeiras Draw
Apr 2024 Internacional(A) 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home
Nov 2023 Internacional(A) 0 - 3 Palmeiras Away

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Palmeiras — winless run (away)0
Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Palmeiras Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 89%
42% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 11%
58% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63
Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Palmeiras
9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
J. López
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target30%
F. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Luighi Hanri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Andreas Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Palmeiras

82.63% Pass accuracy 82.21%
429.03 Passes per match 406.61
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.13
14.89 Fouls committed 14.61
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.78 Offsides 1.79
18.39 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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