Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Santos

Internacional vs Santos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-25 00:00
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Santos
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
25%
2
25%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Santos (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Santos
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Santos averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Internacional 1 - 1 Santos Draw
Jul 2025 Internacional(A) 2 - 1 Santos Home
Oct 2023 Internacional 7 - 1 Santos Home
Jun 2023 Internacional(A) 1 - 1 Santos Draw
Oct 2022 Internacional 1 - 0 Santos Home

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Santos — winless run (away)0
Santos — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Santos Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
58% -1.5 63%
84% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Santos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Santos — scored (away)1.11
Santos — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Santos — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Santos (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Santos
12 5 12 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Santos (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Santos — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Santos — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Santos

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Santos

Neymar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Guilherme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target13%
Á. Barreal
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
B. Rollheiser
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
Victor Hugo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Santos xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 49.68%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Santos

82.63% Pass accuracy 82.87%
429.03 Passes per match 394.58
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.02
14.89 Fouls committed 13.74
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.78 Offsides 1.68
18.39 Tackles per match 17.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Santos prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Santos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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