Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Sport Recife

Internacional vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-19 21:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sport Recife
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
26%
2
22%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Sport Recife
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 47%
42% +1.5 11%
16% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Internacional 2 - 0 Sport Recife Home
May 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 1 Sport Recife Draw
Sep 2021 Internacional(A) 1 - 0 Sport Recife Home
May 2021 Internacional 2 - 2 Sport Recife Draw
Feb 2021 Internacional 1 - 2 Sport Recife Away

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Sport Recife — winless run (away)10
Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)51%
Draw (X)26%
Sport Recife Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 47%
42% +1.5 11%
16% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 53%
58% -1.5 89%
84% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Internacional vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58
Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Sport Recife
12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Léo Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target25%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Ortíz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Sport Recife

82.63% Pass accuracy 81.37%
429.03 Passes per match 375.95
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.15
14.89 Fouls committed 13.63
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.78 Offsides 1.84
18.39 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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