Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama

Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-27 21:30
Internacional
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
25%
2
21%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Internacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Internacional
WLLDW
Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Internacional averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
25%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Internacional(A) 1 - 5 Vasco DA Gama Away
Jul 2025 Internacional 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw
Nov 2024 Internacional(A) 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home
Jul 2024 Internacional 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away
Oct 2023 Internacional(A) 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 5 meetings, Internacional won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Internacional — unbeaten run (home)7
Internacional — scoring streak (home)3
Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4
Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Internacional Win (1)54%
Draw (X)25%
Vasco DA Gama Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 68%
84% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Internacional — scored (home)1.42
Internacional — conceded (home)1.05
Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Internacional — BTTS matches (home)58%
Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Internacional (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.6

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Internacional
8 5 7 13 6
Vasco DA Gama
8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Internacional (home)

For2.2

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Internacional — total shots (home)16.7
Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Internacional — on target (home)5.8
Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional xG (home)1.4
Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

51.08% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama

82.63% Pass accuracy 86.47%
429.03 Passes per match 481
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.15
14.89 Fouls committed 13.18
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.78 Offsides 0.81
18.39 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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