Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ipswich vs Charlton

Ipswich vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-21 18:45
Ipswich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
22%
2
15%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ipswich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.87
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate52%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ipswich
WDDWD
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 74%
57% +1.5 13%
30% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ipswich averages 1.87 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
22%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Ipswich(A) 2 - 1 Charlton Home
Oct 2025 Ipswich 0 - 3 Charlton Away

In the last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ipswich — unbeaten run (home)17
Ipswich — scoring streak (home)14
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ipswich Win (1)63%
Draw (X)22%
Charlton Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 74%
57% +1.5 13%
30% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 26%
43% -1.5 87%
70% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Ipswich vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ipswich — scored (home)1.87
Ipswich — conceded (home)0.74
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Ipswich — BTTS matches (home)52%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ipswich (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.8

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Ipswich (home)

For1.4

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Ipswich — total shots (home)16.4
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Ipswich — on target (home)5.7
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich xG (home)1.71
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

56.07% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Ipswich vs Charlton

80.78% Pass accuracy 70.28%
439.63 Passes per match 315.15
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.07
11.17 Fouls committed 12.09
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
2.04 Offsides 2.15
12.78 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Ipswich vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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