Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ipswich vs Norwich

Ipswich vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-05 11:00
Ipswich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ipswich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.87
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate52%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ipswich
WDDWD
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 87%
57% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
4% +4.5 4%
52% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ipswich averages 1.87 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Ipswich(A) 2 - 0 Norwich Home
Oct 2025 Ipswich 3 - 1 Norwich Home
Apr 2024 Ipswich(A) 0 - 1 Norwich Away
Dec 2023 Ipswich 2 - 2 Norwich Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Ipswich won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ipswich — unbeaten run (home)17
Ipswich — scoring streak (home)14
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ipswich Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
Norwich Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 87%
57% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
4% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 13%
43% -1.5 57%
70% -2.5 87%
96% -3.5 91%
96% -4.5 96%

Ipswich vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ipswich — scored (home)1.87
Ipswich — conceded (home)0.74
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Ipswich — BTTS matches (home)52%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ipswich (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.8

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Ipswich (home)

For1.4

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Ipswich — total shots (home)16.4
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Ipswich — on target (home)5.7
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich xG (home)1.71
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

56.07% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Ipswich vs Norwich

80.78% Pass accuracy 79.24%
439.63 Passes per match 435.28
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.13
11.17 Fouls committed 10.2
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.04 Offsides 1.93
12.78 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Ipswich vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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