Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ipswich vs Oxford United

Ipswich vs Oxford United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-01 15:00
Ipswich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Oxford United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
25%
2
21%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ipswich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.87
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate52%

Oxford United (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ipswich
WDDWD
Oxford United
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 57%
57% +1.5 26%
30% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ipswich averages 1.87 goals scored at home, while Oxford United averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
25%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Ipswich 2 - 1 Oxford United Home
Nov 2025 Ipswich(A) 1 - 2 Oxford United Away

In the last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ipswich — unbeaten run (home)17
Ipswich — scoring streak (home)14
Oxford United — winless run (away)4
Oxford United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ipswich Win (1)54%
Draw (X)25%
Oxford United Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 57%
57% +1.5 26%
30% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 43%
43% -1.5 74%
70% -2.5 91%
96% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Ipswich vs Oxford United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ipswich — scored (home)1.87
Ipswich — conceded (home)0.74
Oxford United — scored (away)0.91
Oxford United — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Ipswich — BTTS matches (home)52%
Oxford United — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.581%
Under 8.519%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ipswich (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.8

Oxford United (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against8.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6
Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Ipswich (home)

For1.4

Oxford United (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Ipswich — total shots (home)16.4
Oxford United — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Ipswich — on target (home)5.7
Oxford United — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich xG (home)1.71
Oxford United xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

56.07% Possession 39.89%

Team Comparison Ipswich vs Oxford United

80.78% Pass accuracy 69.57%
439.63 Passes per match 304.85
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.06
11.17 Fouls committed 10.98
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.04 Offsides 1.76
12.78 Tackles per match 17.04

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich vs Oxford United prediction analysis

Review Ipswich vs Oxford United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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