Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ipswich vs Southampton

Ipswich vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-02-01 15:00
Ipswich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Southampton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ipswich (Home)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ipswich
LLLDL
Southampton
LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 58%
16% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Ipswich averages 0.74 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Ipswich(A) 2 - 2 Southampton Draw
Aug 2025 Ipswich 1 - 1 Southampton Draw
Feb 2025 Ipswich 1 - 2 Southampton Away
Sep 2024 Ipswich(A) 1 - 1 Southampton Draw
Apr 2024 Ipswich 3 - 2 Southampton Home

In the last 5 meetings, Ipswich won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ipswich — unbeaten run (home)0
Ipswich — scoring streak (home)1
Southampton — winless run (away)6
Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ipswich Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Southampton Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 58%
16% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 42%
84% -1.5 89%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ipswich vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ipswich — scored (home)0.74
Ipswich — conceded (home)2.32
Southampton — scored (away)0.68
Southampton — conceded (away)2.05
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Ipswich — BTTS matches (home)53%
Southampton — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ipswich (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.8

Southampton (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ipswich
13 5 11 4 4
Southampton
13 13 16 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Ipswich (home)

For2.1

Southampton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Ipswich — total shots (home)10.9
Southampton — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Ipswich — on target (home)3.6
Southampton — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ipswich

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.87

Southampton

Inside the box6.45
Outside the box2.58

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target31%
L. Delap
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target15%
O. Hutchinson
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Bednarek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mateus Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Harwood-Bellis
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich xG (home)0.91
Southampton xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

40.29% Possession 48.66%

Team Comparison Ipswich vs Southampton

79.21% Pass accuracy 84.79%
353.89 Passes per match 454.84
0.09 Goals prevented 0.07
11.32 Fouls committed 12.08
3.55 Goalkeeper saves 4.26
1.68 Offsides 1.44
15.47 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Ipswich vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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