Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-22 14:00
Ipswich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sunderland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
25%
2
49%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ipswich (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Sunderland (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sunderland
WWDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 58%
0% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Ipswich averages 0 goals scored at home, while Sunderland averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
25%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2024 Ipswich 2 - 1 Sunderland Home
Aug 2023 Ipswich(A) 2 - 1 Sunderland Home

In the last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sunderland — winless run (away)0
Sunderland — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ipswich Win (1)26%
Draw (X)25%
Sunderland Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 58%
0% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 42%
100% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ipswich vs Sunderland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ipswich — scored (home)0
Ipswich — conceded (home)0
Sunderland — scored (away)0.89
Sunderland — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Ipswich — BTTS matches (home)0%
Sunderland — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)23.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ipswich (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Sunderland (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sunderland
9 9 13 5 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Ipswich (home)

For—

Sunderland (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.53

Ipswich

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.11
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.62

Sunderland

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.43
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.20

Shots per Game

Ipswich — total shots (home)—
Sunderland — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Ipswich — on target (home)—
Sunderland — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ipswich

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Sunderland

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box3.03

Player Shots Ipswich

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Sunderland

B. Brobbey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
W. Isidor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
H. Diarra
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich xG (home)-
Sunderland xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

-% Possession 44.84%

Team Comparison Ipswich vs Sunderland

0% Pass accuracy 78.45%
- Passes per match 375.05
- Goals prevented -0.16
- Fouls committed 10.71
- Goalkeeper saves 3.13
- Offsides 1.57
- Tackles per match 15.39

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction analysis

Review Ipswich vs Sunderland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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