Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK

İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-16 16:00
İstanbulspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bodrum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
25%
2
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

İstanbulspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Bodrum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

İstanbulspor
WWWWL
Bodrum FK
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 70%
37% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
11% +3.5 15%
5% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

İstanbulspor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Bodrum FK averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
25%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 İstanbulspor 0 - 1 Bodrum FK Away
Nov 2025 İstanbulspor(A) 0 - 5 Bodrum FK Away

In the last 2 meetings, İstanbulspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

İstanbulspor — unbeaten run (home)2
İstanbulspor — scoring streak (home)2
Bodrum FK — winless run (away)3
Bodrum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

İstanbulspor Win (1)37%
Draw (X)25%
Bodrum FK Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 70%
37% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
11% +3.5 15%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 30%
63% -1.5 65%
74% -2.5 75%
89% -3.5 85%
95% -4.5 95%

İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

İstanbulspor — scored (home)1.68
İstanbulspor — conceded (home)1.42
Bodrum FK — scored (away)1.5
Bodrum FK — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (home)63%
Bodrum FK — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

İstanbulspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Bodrum FK (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8
Bodrum FK
19 6 7 8 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

İstanbulspor (home)

For1.7

Bodrum FK (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.538%
Under 25.562%
Expected total shots23.65

İstanbulspor

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.00
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70

Bodrum FK

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.65
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target3.97

Shots per Game

İstanbulspor — total shots (home)12.7
Bodrum FK — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

İstanbulspor — on target (home)4.7
Bodrum FK — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Bodrum FK

Inside the box8.1
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Bodrum FK

C. Dumanlı
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Seferi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Hotić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Pedro Brazão
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ajeti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

İstanbulspor xG (home)1.46
Bodrum FK xG (away)1.87

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 49.12%

Team Comparison İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK

78.5% Pass accuracy 79.49%
382.74 Passes per match 362.76
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 11.76
2.66 Goalkeeper saves 2.85
1.86 Offsides 2.31
13.62 Tackles per match 14.35

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK prediction analysis

Review İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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