Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK

İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-19 14:00
İstanbulspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Çorum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
27%
2
23%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

İstanbulspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

İstanbulspor
WWWWL
Çorum FK
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 76%
37% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 19%
11% +3.5 10%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

İstanbulspor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
27%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 İstanbulspor(A) 3 - 2 Çorum FK Home
Sep 2025 İstanbulspor 3 - 1 Çorum FK Home
May 2025 İstanbulspor 3 - 0 Çorum FK Home
Jan 2025 İstanbulspor(A) 1 - 3 Çorum FK Away

In the last 4 meetings, İstanbulspor won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

İstanbulspor — unbeaten run (home)2
İstanbulspor — scoring streak (home)2
Çorum FK — winless run (away)0
Çorum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

İstanbulspor Win (1)50%
Draw (X)27%
Çorum FK Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 76%
37% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 19%
11% +3.5 10%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 24%
63% -1.5 57%
74% -2.5 81%
89% -3.5 90%
95% -4.5 100%

İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

İstanbulspor — scored (home)1.68
İstanbulspor — conceded (home)1.42
Çorum FK — scored (away)1.48
Çorum FK — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (home)63%
Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

İstanbulspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8
Çorum FK
10 10 8 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

İstanbulspor (home)

For1.7

Çorum FK (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

İstanbulspor — total shots (home)12.7
Çorum FK — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

İstanbulspor — on target (home)4.7
Çorum FK — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Pedrinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Samudio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

İstanbulspor xG (home)1.46
Çorum FK xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 59.1%

Team Comparison İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK

78.5% Pass accuracy 83.48%
382.74 Passes per match 467.05
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 12.31
2.66 Goalkeeper saves 1.79
1.86 Offsides 2.48
13.62 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK prediction analysis

Review İstanbulspor vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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