Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor

İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-07 16:00
İstanbulspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
25%
2
17%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

İstanbulspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

İstanbulspor
WWWWL
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
26% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

İstanbulspor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 İstanbulspor(A) 3 - 1 Sivasspor Home
Dec 2025 İstanbulspor 2 - 1 Sivasspor Home
May 2024 İstanbulspor 1 - 3 Sivasspor Away
Dec 2023 İstanbulspor(A) 0 - 1 Sivasspor Away
Mar 2023 İstanbulspor 3 - 0 Sivasspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, İstanbulspor won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

İstanbulspor — unbeaten run (home)2
İstanbulspor — scoring streak (home)2
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

İstanbulspor Win (1)58%
Draw (X)25%
Sivasspor Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
26% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 33%
63% -1.5 78%
74% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

İstanbulspor — scored (home)1.68
İstanbulspor — conceded (home)1.42
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (home)63%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)59.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

İstanbulspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

İstanbulspor (home)

For1.7

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

İstanbulspor — total shots (home)12.7
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

İstanbulspor — on target (home)4.7
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

İstanbulspor xG (home)1.46
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor

78.5% Pass accuracy 79.59%
382.74 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 11.57
2.66 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.86 Offsides 2.68
13.62 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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