Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-13 13:00
İstanbulspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Ümraniyespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

İstanbulspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Ümraniyespor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

İstanbulspor
WWWWL
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

İstanbulspor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 İstanbulspor(A) 0 - 0 Ümraniyespor Draw
Sep 2025 İstanbulspor 4 - 0 Ümraniyespor Home
Feb 2025 İstanbulspor(A) 1 - 2 Ümraniyespor Away
Sep 2024 İstanbulspor 3 - 0 Ümraniyespor Home
Jun 2023 İstanbulspor 4 - 0 Ümraniyespor Home

In the last 5 meetings, İstanbulspor won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

İstanbulspor — unbeaten run (home)2
İstanbulspor — scoring streak (home)2
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

İstanbulspor Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 47%
63% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

İstanbulspor — scored (home)1.68
İstanbulspor — conceded (home)1.42
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (home)63%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

İstanbulspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Ümraniyespor (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8
Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

İstanbulspor (home)

For1.7

Ümraniyespor (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

İstanbulspor — total shots (home)12.7
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9

Shots on Target

İstanbulspor — on target (home)4.7
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

İstanbulspor xG (home)1.46
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 47.08%

Team Comparison İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor

78.5% Pass accuracy 79.97%
382.74 Passes per match 386.84
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 10.42
2.66 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
1.86 Offsides 1.59
13.62 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis

Review İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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