Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK

İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-21 16:00
İstanbulspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Vanspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

İstanbulspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Vanspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

İstanbulspor
WWWWL
Vanspor FK
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
26% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

İstanbulspor averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Vanspor FK averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 İstanbulspor(A) 3 - 1 Vanspor FK Home
Dec 2025 İstanbulspor 1 - 3 Vanspor FK Away

In the last 2 meetings, İstanbulspor won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

İstanbulspor — unbeaten run (home)2
İstanbulspor — scoring streak (home)2
Vanspor FK — winless run (away)1
Vanspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

İstanbulspor Win (1)48%
Draw (X)26%
Vanspor FK Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
26% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 68%
74% -2.5 74%
89% -3.5 89%
95% -4.5 95%

İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

İstanbulspor — scored (home)1.68
İstanbulspor — conceded (home)1.42
Vanspor FK — scored (away)1.42
Vanspor FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (home)63%
Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.514%
Under 10.586%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

İstanbulspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Vanspor FK (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8
Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

İstanbulspor (home)

For1.7

Vanspor FK (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

İstanbulspor — total shots (home)12.7
Vanspor FK — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

İstanbulspor — on target (home)4.7
Vanspor FK — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

İstanbulspor xG (home)1.46
Vanspor FK xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 54.89%

Team Comparison İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK

78.5% Pass accuracy 79.58%
382.74 Passes per match 397.71
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 14.92
2.66 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.86 Offsides 2
13.62 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK prediction analysis

Review İstanbulspor vs Vanspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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