Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Italy vs Belgium

Italy vs Belgium prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Nations League 2026-09-25 18:45
Italy
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Belgium
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Italy (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Belgium (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

No recent form dataNot enough finished matches this season yet.

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Italy averages 0 goals scored at home, while Belgium averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2024 Italy(A) 1 - 0 Belgium Home
Oct 2024 Italy 2 - 2 Belgium Draw
Oct 2021 Italy 2 - 1 Belgium Home

In the last 3 meetings, Italy won 2, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

No streak data yetNot enough finished matches this season.

1X2 Probability model

Italy Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Belgium Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 100%
100% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Italy vs Belgium — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Italy — scored (home)0
Italy — conceded (home)0
Belgium — scored (away)0
Belgium — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Italy — BTTS matches (home)0%
Belgium — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)0%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Italy (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Belgium (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Italy (home)

For—

Belgium (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.04

Italy

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.48
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.72

Belgium

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.55
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.82

Shots per Game

Italy — total shots (home)—
Belgium — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Italy — on target (home)—
Belgium — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Italy

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Belgium

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Italy vs Belgium

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Italy vs Belgium prediction analysis

Review Italy vs Belgium with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Nations League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Nations League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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