Prediction Analysis: Japan vs Spain
Japan vs Spain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Japan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Spain
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
33%
2
27%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Japan (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Spain (Away)
Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Japan
DWLW
Spain
DLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
50%
33%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
67%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.
Japan averages 1 goals scored at home, while Spain averages 0.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
74%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
33%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
33%
Head-to-Head last 1
Dec 2022
Japan
2 - 1
Spain
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Japan won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Japan — unbeaten run (home)2
Japan — scoring streak (home)2
Spain — winless run (away)2
Spain — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Japan Win (1)40%
Draw (X)33%
Spain Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
50%
33%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
50%
67%
-1.5
100%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Japan vs Spain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Japan — scored (home)1
Japan — conceded (home)1
Spain — scored (away)0.5
Spain — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals1.75
Both Teams To Score
Yes33%
No67%
Rate per Team
Japan — BTTS matches (home)67%
Spain — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)58.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.559%
Under 4.541%
Over 5.542%
Under 5.558%
Over 6.542%
Under 6.558%
Over 7.542%
Under 7.558%
Over 8.517%
Under 8.583%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)5.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Japan (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Spain (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Japan
12
5
2
13
Spain
5
11
2
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Japan (home)
For—
Spain (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Japan — total shots (home)—
Spain — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Japan — on target (home)—
Spain — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Japan
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Spain
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Japan
R. Dōan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Asano
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
H. Morita
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Tanaka
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Spain
Dani Olmo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Álvaro Morata
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Ferran Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Gavi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Japan vs Spain
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
17.5
Tackles per match
13.25
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Japan vs Spain prediction analysis
Review Japan vs Spain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights