Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven

Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-10 18:00
Jong AZ
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
23%
2
32%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Jong AZ (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

FC Eindhoven (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Jong AZ
WLLLW
FC Eindhoven
WLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Jong AZ averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while FC Eindhoven averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
23%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Jong AZ(A) 2 - 3 FC Eindhoven Away
Nov 2025 Jong AZ 0 - 2 FC Eindhoven Away
May 2025 Jong AZ(A) 4 - 2 FC Eindhoven Home
Oct 2024 Jong AZ 2 - 3 FC Eindhoven Away
Mar 2024 Jong AZ(A) 1 - 1 FC Eindhoven Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Jong AZ won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Jong AZ — unbeaten run (home)1
Jong AZ — scoring streak (home)1
FC Eindhoven — winless run (away)3
FC Eindhoven — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Jong AZ Win (1)45%
Draw (X)23%
FC Eindhoven Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
42% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
58% -1.5 79%
84% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Jong AZ — scored (home)1.37
Jong AZ — conceded (home)1.89
FC Eindhoven — scored (away)0.95
FC Eindhoven — conceded (away)2.05
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Jong AZ — BTTS matches (home)47%
FC Eindhoven — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Jong AZ (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.4

FC Eindhoven (away)

Corners for6.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Jong AZ
8 11 15 16 16
FC Eindhoven
8 6 10 14 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Jong AZ (home)

For1.6

FC Eindhoven (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.64

Jong AZ

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots14.88
On Target Over 3.577%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.547%
Expected on target5.60

FC Eindhoven

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.76
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.69

Shots per Game

Jong AZ — total shots (home)15.8
FC Eindhoven — total shots (away)15.1

Shots on Target

Jong AZ — on target (home)5.9
FC Eindhoven — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Jong AZ

Inside the box8.21
Outside the box5.87

FC Eindhoven

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Jong AZ

A. Oufkir
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
E. Dijkstra
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Inge
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. van Duijn
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
B. Kovacs
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots FC Eindhoven

T. Muller
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target26%
H. Deenen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Simons
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Blummel
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Janga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong AZ xG (home)1.29
FC Eindhoven xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

53.58% Possession 43.79%

Team Comparison Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven

84.6% Pass accuracy 78.03%
456.53 Passes per match 354.95
0 Goals prevented 0
12.92 Fouls committed 12.76
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
1.5 Offsides 1.49
17.37 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven prediction analysis

Review Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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