Prediction Analysis: Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eerste Divisie
2026-08-17
18:00
Jong Utrecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vitesse
Away
Prediction Summary
1
39%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Jong Utrecht (Home)
Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate68%
Vitesse (Away)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Jong Utrecht
WDWLL
Vitesse
LDWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
74%
63%
+1.5
53%
32%
+2.5
21%
11%
+3.5
16%
5%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.
Jong Utrecht averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Vitesse averages 1.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
39%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Head-to-Head last 4
Apr 2026
Jong Utrecht
0 - 3
Vitesse
Away
Oct 2025
Jong Utrecht(A)
0 - 2
Vitesse
Away
Mar 2025
Jong Utrecht
0 - 2
Vitesse
Away
Dec 2024
Jong Utrecht(A)
1 - 2
Vitesse
Away
In the last 4 meetings, Jong Utrecht won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Jong Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)1
Jong Utrecht — scoring streak (home)1
Vitesse — winless run (away)1
Vitesse — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Jong Utrecht Win (1)39%
Draw (X)23%
Vitesse Win (2)39%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
74%
63%
+1.5
53%
32%
+2.5
21%
11%
+3.5
16%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
26%
37%
-1.5
47%
68%
-2.5
79%
89%
-3.5
84%
95%
-4.5
100%
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Jong Utrecht — scored (home)1.95
Jong Utrecht — conceded (home)1.74
Vitesse — scored (away)1.63
Vitesse — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.37
Both Teams To Score
Yes66%
No34%
Rate per Team
Jong Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)68%
Vitesse — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Jong Utrecht (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.5
Vitesse (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Jong Utrecht
10
9
14
15
8
Vitesse
11
7
9
10
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Jong Utrecht (home)
For1.3
Vitesse (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.60
Jong Utrecht
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.43
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.44
Vitesse
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.17
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.95
Shots per Game
Jong Utrecht — total shots (home)15.2
Vitesse — total shots (away)13.1
Shots on Target
Jong Utrecht — on target (home)6.0
Vitesse — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Jong Utrecht
Inside the box8.89
Outside the box5.11
Vitesse
Inside the box9
Outside the box5.58
Player Shots Jong Utrecht
N. Ohio
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target63%
R. El Arguioui
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target44%
Tijn den Boggende
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target15%
O. Agougil
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Dundas
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Vitesse
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target14%
E. Huth
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target16%
Nino Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
D. Hoogewerf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target14%
Adam Tahaui
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Utrecht xG (home)1.97
Vitesse xG (away)1.6
Average Possession
47.61%
Possession
46.45%
Team Comparison Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
77.68%
Pass accuracy
77.74%
393.11
Passes per match
372.16
0
Goals prevented
0
12.26
Fouls committed
12.71
3.45
Goalkeeper saves
3.42
2.3
Offsides
1.97
15.29
Tackles per match
19.47
League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse prediction analysis
Review Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights