Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs America de Cali

Junior vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-04 01:20
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
29%
2
24%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

America de Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
America de Cali
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 62%
59% +1.5 19%
15% +2.5 4%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
29%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Junior 2 - 1 America de Cali Home
Nov 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 1 America de Cali Draw
Oct 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 2 America de Cali Away
Jun 2025 Junior 0 - 1 America de Cali Away
Jun 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 2 America de Cali Away

In the last 5 meetings, Junior won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)47%
Draw (X)29%
America de Cali Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 62%
59% +1.5 19%
15% +2.5 4%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 38%
41% -1.5 81%
85% -2.5 96%
93% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Junior vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

America de Cali (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

America de Cali (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
America de Cali xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 52.4%

Team Comparison Junior vs America de Cali

78.93% Pass accuracy 81.27%
379.17 Passes per match 393.67
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 12.02
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.55 Offsides 1.86
12.63 Tackles per match 12.15

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs America de Cali prediction analysis

Review Junior vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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