Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs Chico

Junior vs Chico prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-08-02 21:10
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Chico
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
25%
2
17%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

Chico (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
Chico
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 45%
59% +1.5 15%
15% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Chico averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Junior 2 - 0 Chico Home
Feb 2025 Junior(A) 2 - 0 Chico Home

In the last 2 meetings, Junior won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
Chico — winless run (away)1
Chico — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)58%
Draw (X)25%
Chico Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 45%
59% +1.5 15%
15% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 55%
41% -1.5 85%
85% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Junior vs Chico — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
Chico — scored (away)0.6
Chico — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
Chico — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Chico (away)

Corners for2.3
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
Chico
5 4 7 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

Chico (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
Chico — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
Chico — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
Chico xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 47.6%

Team Comparison Junior vs Chico

78.93% Pass accuracy 77.73%
379.17 Passes per match 328.68
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 11.03
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.55 Offsides 1.68
12.63 Tackles per match 10.13

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs Chico prediction analysis

Review Junior vs Chico with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top