Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs Deportes Tolima

Junior vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-12-13 01:00
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Deportes Tolima
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
28%
2
31%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.04
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
Deportes Tolima
LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 74%
59% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 15%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima Home
Dec 2025 Junior 3 - 0 Deportes Tolima Home
Oct 2025 Junior 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima Away
Jun 2025 Junior(A) 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Away
May 2025 Junior 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Junior won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2
Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)41%
Draw (X)28%
Deportes Tolima Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 74%
59% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 15%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 26%
41% -1.5 67%
85% -2.5 85%
93% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Junior vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26
Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
Deportes Tolima
8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02
Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. P. Torres Patino
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Parra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Junior vs Deportes Tolima

78.93% Pass accuracy 81.54%
379.17 Passes per match 409.22
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 10.46
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.55 Offsides 1.42
12.63 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Junior vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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