Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs Deportivo Cali

Junior vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-01-26 22:10
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
27%
2
22%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 45%
59% +1.5 20%
15% +2.5 15%
7% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Junior(A) 2 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home
Jan 2025 Junior 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Junior won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)51%
Draw (X)27%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 45%
59% +1.5 20%
15% +2.5 15%
7% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 55%
41% -1.5 80%
85% -2.5 85%
93% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Junior vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Junior vs Deportivo Cali

78.93% Pass accuracy 78%
379.17 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 13.64
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.55 Offsides 1.97
12.63 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Junior vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top