Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs Santa Fe

Junior vs Santa Fe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-29 23:10
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Santa Fe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
27%
2
28%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

Santa Fe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
Santa Fe
DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 70%
59% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 4%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%
52% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Santa Fe averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Junior 1 - 2 Santa Fe Away
May 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 2 Santa Fe Away

In the last 2 meetings, Junior won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
Santa Fe — winless run (away)0
Santa Fe — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Santa Fe Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 70%
59% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 4%
7% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 30%
41% -1.5 67%
85% -2.5 96%
93% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 96%

Junior vs Santa Fe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
Santa Fe — scored (away)1.22
Santa Fe — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
Santa Fe — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Santa Fe (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

Santa Fe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
Santa Fe — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
Santa Fe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
Santa Fe xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 48.19%

Team Comparison Junior vs Santa Fe

78.93% Pass accuracy 77.09%
379.17 Passes per match 334.04
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 11.52
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 3.46
1.55 Offsides 1.38
12.63 Tackles per match 10.54

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs Santa Fe prediction analysis

Review Junior vs Santa Fe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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