Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Junior vs Union Magdalena

Junior vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-03-26 23:30
Junior
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Magdalena
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
27%
2
19%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Junior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate52%

Union Magdalena (Away)

Goals scored / match0.7
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Junior
WWLWW
Union Magdalena
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 60%
59% +1.5 10%
15% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Junior averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
27%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 4

Sep 2025 Junior(A) 1 - 3 Union Magdalena Away
Jul 2025 Junior 4 - 1 Union Magdalena Home
Mar 2025 Junior 2 - 1 Union Magdalena Home
Feb 2025 Junior(A) 0 - 0 Union Magdalena Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Junior won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Junior — unbeaten run (home)5
Junior — scoring streak (home)7
Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6
Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Junior Win (1)54%
Draw (X)27%
Union Magdalena Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 60%
59% +1.5 10%
15% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 40%
41% -1.5 90%
85% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Junior vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Junior — scored (home)1.63
Junior — conceded (home)0.78
Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7
Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Junior — BTTS matches (home)52%
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)51%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Junior (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Union Magdalena (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Junior
9 6 7 9 12
Union Magdalena
3 14 12 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Junior (home)

For2.4

Union Magdalena (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Junior — total shots (home)13.4
Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Junior — on target (home)4.6
Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Junior xG (home)1.39
Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

52.17% Possession 45.9%

Team Comparison Junior vs Union Magdalena

78.93% Pass accuracy 75.59%
379.17 Passes per match 333
0 Goals prevented 0
10.2 Fouls committed 13.13
3.54 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.55 Offsides 1.74
12.63 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Junior vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis

Review Junior vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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