What markets are included in the Juventude vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Juventude vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Atletico-MG

Juventude vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-05 23:00

Juventude

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

21%

18%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude

DLDLD

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 42%

37% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

21%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

May 2025 Juventude 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

Nov 2024 Juventude(A) 3 - 2 Atletico-MG Home

Jul 2024 Juventude 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Draw

Oct 2022 Juventude(A) 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0

Juventude — scoring streak (home)0

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)61%

Draw (X)21%

Atletico-MG Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 42%

37% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 58%

63% -1.5 84%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11

Juventude — conceded (home)1.37

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.4

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude

12 11 11 8 11

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47

Outside the box4.42

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Gabriel Taliari

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Batalla

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target5%

Mandaca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target9%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Atletico-MG

80.89% Pass accuracy 83.87%

339 Passes per match 451.13

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.03

15.89 Fouls committed 13.24

3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.86 Offsides 1.83

15.82 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights