Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Avai

Juventude vs Avai prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-07-28 22:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Juventude
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Avai
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
21%
2
9%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Avai (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
LWWDW
Avai
WDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Avai averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
21%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2023 Juventude(A) 2 - 0 Avai Home
Jun 2023 Juventude 3 - 2 Avai Home
Sep 2022 Juventude 1 - 1 Avai Draw
May 2022 Juventude(A) 2 - 1 Avai Home
Jan 2021 Juventude(A) 2 - 5 Avai Away

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)3
Juventude — scoring streak (home)3
Avai — winless run (away)4
Avai — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)70%
Draw (X)21%
Avai Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
33% -1.5 75%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Avai — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.67
Juventude — conceded (home)0
Avai — scored (away)1
Avai — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)0%
Avai — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against3.0

Avai (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
10 8 1 8 11
Avai
11 8 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.567%
Under 1.533%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For1.0

Avai (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.57

Juventude

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.41
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.86

Avai

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.16
On Target Over 3.541%
On Target Over 4.524%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.29

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)10.0
Avai — total shots (away)5.5

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.3
Avai — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box5.33
Outside the box5

Avai

Inside the box4.17
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Juventude

Marcos Paulo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Alisson Safira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Raí
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Patryck
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fábio Lima
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Avai

Daniel Penha
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target50%
Wesley Gasolina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jean Lucas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
William Fernando
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Thayllon
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.73
Avai xG (away)0.83

Average Possession

47.5% Possession 45.71%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Avai

72.92% Pass accuracy 79.63%
260.17 Passes per match 374
-0.65 Goals prevented -0.6
15.83 Fouls committed 12
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1.33 Offsides 2.33
14.67 Tackles per match 13.71

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Avai prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Avai with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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