Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Bahia

Juventude vs Bahia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-28 22:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Bahia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
26%
2
29%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Bahia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Bahia
LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Bahia averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Juventude 1 - 1 Bahia Draw
Jul 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 3 Bahia Away
Nov 2024 Juventude 2 - 1 Bahia Home
Jul 2024 Juventude(A) 0 - 2 Bahia Away
Oct 2021 Juventude 0 - 0 Bahia Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Bahia — winless run (away)10
Bahia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Bahia Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Bahia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Bahia — scored (away)0.89
Bahia — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Bahia — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Bahia (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Bahia
12 12 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Bahia (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Bahia — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Bahia — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Bahia

Inside the box8.42
Outside the box5.45

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target18%
Erick Pulga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Ademir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rodrigo Nestor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Bahia xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Bahia

80.89% Pass accuracy 85.92%
339 Passes per match 468.39
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.11
15.89 Fouls committed 12.32
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
1.86 Offsides 1.25
15.82 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Bahia prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Bahia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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