Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Botafogo

Juventude vs Botafogo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-24 21:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Botafogo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
33%
2
37%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Botafogo (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Botafogo
WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Botafogo averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
33%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Juventude 1 - 3 Botafogo Away
Apr 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 2 Botafogo Away
Aug 2024 Juventude 3 - 2 Botafogo Home
Apr 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 5 Botafogo Away
Aug 2022 Juventude 2 - 2 Botafogo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Botafogo — winless run (away)4
Botafogo — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)30%
Draw (X)33%
Botafogo Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 53%
63% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Juventude vs Botafogo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Botafogo — scored (away)1
Botafogo — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals1.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Botafogo — BTTS matches (away)21%
Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Botafogo (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Botafogo
12 8 12 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Botafogo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Botafogo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Botafogo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21
Outside the box5.11

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Chris Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Savarino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Artur
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Botafogo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 51.76%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Botafogo

80.89% Pass accuracy 85.26%
339 Passes per match 454.05
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.12
15.89 Fouls committed 14.61
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.86 Offsides 1.36
15.82 Tackles per match 15.24

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Botafogo prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Botafogo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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