Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Corinthians

Juventude vs Corinthians prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-11 23:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Corinthians
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
29%
2
23%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Corinthians (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Corinthians
DLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 5%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Corinthians averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
29%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Juventude(A) 1 - 1 Corinthians Draw
Aug 2025 Juventude 2 - 1 Corinthians Home
Sep 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 3 Corinthians Away
Aug 2024 Juventude 2 - 1 Corinthians Home
Aug 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 1 Corinthians Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Corinthians — winless run (away)3
Corinthians — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)48%
Draw (X)29%
Corinthians Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 5%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 95%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Corinthians — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Corinthians — scored (away)0.79
Corinthians — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Corinthians — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Corinthians (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Corinthians
9 12 12 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Corinthians (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Corinthians — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Corinthians — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Corinthians xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 55.74%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Corinthians

80.89% Pass accuracy 84.82%
339 Passes per match 467.61
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.03
15.89 Fouls committed 13.95
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.43
1.86 Offsides 1.79
15.82 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Corinthians prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Corinthians with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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