Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Cruzeiro

Juventude vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-20 19:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Cruzeiro
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
31%
2
41%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Cruzeiro
LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
31%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Juventude 3 - 3 Cruzeiro Draw
Jul 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 4 Cruzeiro Away
Dec 2024 Juventude 0 - 1 Cruzeiro Away
Jul 2024 Juventude(A) 0 - 2 Cruzeiro Away
Jan 2021 Juventude 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3
Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)28%
Draw (X)31%
Cruzeiro Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05
Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Cruzeiro
12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Arroyo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
Matheus Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Gabriel Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Cruzeiro

80.89% Pass accuracy 81.05%
339 Passes per match 363.13
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.12
15.89 Fouls committed 13.66
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.86 Offsides 1.5
15.82 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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