Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Flamengo

Juventude vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-14 19:00
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Flamengo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
28%
2
42%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
DLDLD
Flamengo
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
28%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Juventude 0 - 2 Flamengo Away
Apr 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 6 Flamengo Away
Oct 2024 Juventude(A) 2 - 4 Flamengo Away
Jun 2024 Juventude 2 - 1 Flamengo Home
Nov 2022 Juventude 2 - 2 Flamengo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)0
Juventude — scoring streak (home)0
Flamengo — winless run (away)3
Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)30%
Draw (X)28%
Flamengo Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 42%
95% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Juventude vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.11
Juventude — conceded (home)1.37
Flamengo — scored (away)1.68
Flamengo — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)47%
Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
12 11 11 8 11
Flamengo
8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For2.5

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)12.5
Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.4
Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.85
Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

42.82% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Flamengo

80.89% Pass accuracy 88.34%
339 Passes per match 562.39
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.02
15.89 Fouls committed 13.42
3.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.86 Offsides 1.24
15.82 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Juventude vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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