Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Juventude vs Fortaleza EC

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-15 21:30
Juventude
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fortaleza EC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
24%
2
11%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Juventude (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Juventude
LWWDW
Fortaleza EC
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Juventude averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
24%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Juventude 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away
May 2025 Juventude(A) 0 - 5 Fortaleza EC Away
Nov 2024 Juventude 0 - 3 Fortaleza EC Away
Jun 2024 Juventude(A) 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away
Sep 2022 Juventude 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Juventude won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Juventude — unbeaten run (home)3
Juventude — scoring streak (home)3
Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)2
Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Juventude Win (1)64%
Draw (X)24%
Fortaleza EC Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
33% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Juventude — scored (home)1.67
Juventude — conceded (home)0
Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1
Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

Juventude — BTTS matches (home)0%
Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Juventude (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against3.0

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Juventude
10 8 1 8 11
Fortaleza EC
14 8 11 13 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.567%
Under 1.533%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Juventude (home)

For1.0

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.20

Juventude

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.15
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.69

Fortaleza EC

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots11.05
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.39

Shots per Game

Juventude — total shots (home)10.0
Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)15.5

Shots on Target

Juventude — on target (home)4.3
Fortaleza EC — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Juventude

Inside the box5.33
Outside the box5

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box10.67
Outside the box6.17

Player Shots Juventude

Marcos Paulo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Alisson Safira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Raí
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Patryck
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fábio Lima
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

J. Miritello
Shots on Target/Game2.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Luiz Fernando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Lucas Crispim
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Welliton
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventude xG (home)0.73
Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

47.5% Possession 52.17%

Team Comparison Juventude vs Fortaleza EC

72.92% Pass accuracy 83.67%
260.17 Passes per match 427
-0.65 Goals prevented 0.14
15.83 Fouls committed 14.33
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.83
1.33 Offsides 2.17
14.67 Tackles per match 12.17

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Juventude vs Fortaleza EC prediction and preview

Preview Juventude vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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